Home > Crazy Town Podcast > Episode 46 – Maximum Power and Scarcity, or… the Story of the Birdbrained Backhoe on the Beach

June 16, 2021

The “maximum power principle” may sound like the doctrine of an evil supervillain, but it actually applies to all living creatures. The principle states that biological systems organize to increase power whenever constraints allow. Given the way humans adhere to this principle, especially by overexploiting fossil fuels, we often do behave like supervillains, wielding power in wildly irresponsible ways and triggering climate change, biodiversity loss, and other aspects of our sustainability predicament. Sometimes it seems like we’re using a backhoe to dig our own grave. Fortunately, once you understand efficiency and its different flavors, you can see opportunities to optimize power rather than maximize it. While considering the outlook for humanity, the Crazy Townies ponder a weird question: are we smarter than reindeer? Richard Heinberg, author of Power: Limits and Prospects for Human Survival, joins the team to share his research on how people can optimize power.

 

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Show Notes

Transcript

Asher Miller
Hi, I’m Asher Miller.

Jason Bradford
I’m Jason Bradford.

Rob Dietz
And I’m Rob Dietz. Welcome to Crazy Town where Mad Max looks like a documentary. The topic of today’s episode is the maximum power principle. And please stay tuned for an interview with our very own Richard Heinberg.

Rob Dietz
Asher, Jason, it’s that time of year where I like to hit the Oregon coast. What about you guys?

Jason Bradford
Oh, it’s so warm over there.

Rob Dietz
I wouldn’t go that far. But you know, the oceans nice, big beautiful beach. It’s just beautiful.

Jason Bradford
It’s beautiful.

Asher Miller
I want to find pirate ships out there.

Rob Dietz
This is not “The Goonies” movie, okay?

Asher Miller
You got my reference.

Rob Dietz
Yeah, well, that should usually be my special little contribution to this podcast. But anyway, I bring it up because I was thinking maybe the three of us could get out there for a little R&R, a little vacation when put the microphones down.

Jason Bradford
Little Crazy Town retreat?

Asher Miller
Can we wait till I get my second shot?

Rob Dietz
Yeah, yeah, I’m actually scheduled as well. So I bring this up because I also want to have a competition with you guys.

Jason Bradford
Classic.

Asher Miller
Of course you do.

Rob Dietz
Yeah, I like to play a game you when you go to the beach, you know? It’s all that sand. You could play frisbee, you could play with the dog, but no, I want to play, “who can dig the biggest hole in an hour.”

Jason Bradford
Okay.

Rob Dietz
And what I want to play with this game, I’m gonna let each of us bring some item, some artifact.

Asher Miller
By the way, how old are we?

Rob Dietz
I don’t know. I like to be like a 12 year old when I go to the beach. Ride the waves and. . .

Asher Miller
Okay, we’ll dig holes, man. If that’s what you want to do.

Rob Dietz
So I want to invite you each to bring a tool and we’ll see who can dig the biggest hole. Jason, what are you gonna bring?

Jason Bradford
Well, I’ve got a lot of shovels to choose from. And a couple of them I’m pretty good at using so I’m just going to use a nice, sturdy shovel.

Rob Dietz
Why, you are a farmer who puts in a lot of work in the field, so . . .

Jason Bradford
Yeah, I’ve got muscles building.

Rob Dietz
I am a little scared of how much you can do. How about you, Asher? What are you gonna bring?

Asher Miller
I can bring anything I want?

Rob Dietz
Yeah.

Asher Miller
Okay, fine. How about a John Deere 410K backhoe, baby.

Rob Dietz
That’s pretty good. I think you –

Jason Bradford
I don’t know if I’m going to show up anymore.

Rob Dietz
Vegas is kind of far from the Oregon coast. But if I’m going there, I might lay a bet on you having a bigger hole at the end of an hour than Jason has.

Asher Miller
And we’re ignoring, you know, any restrictions, license?

Jason Bradford
Yeah, yeah.

Rob Dietz
Well, it doesn’t matter anyway. Because I’m gonna bring a bagger 293 bucket wheel excavator.

Jason Bradford
Oh, that sounds like it’s even bigger.

Asher Miller
What is that?

Rob Dietz
It’s the biggest mining machine ever created on the face of the planet.

Asher Miller
How are you gonna get it there buddy?

Rob Dietz
Hey, details All right? Let’s not.

Jason Bradford
Logistics.

Rob Dietz
How big are we talking about? I thought I was going big..

Rob Dietz
Well, okay. I grabbed a table with some stats on it. With some horsepower and kind of sand amounts we can expect to move in an hour based on how big these things are. So let’s do a little comparison.

Jason Bradford
I’m in last place.

Rob Dietz
So Jason, how much does your shovel weigh?

Jason Bradford
I don’t know. 5-10 pounds.

Rob Dietz
Okay, how about how about your backhoe, Asher?

Asher Miller
Eight tons, maybe?

Rob Dietz
Oh, well, my bagger 293 weighs 14,200 tons.

Asher Miller
Are you sure it’ll fit on the beach? Which beach are we going to?

Rob Dietz
Yeah, I know. Well, it’s not going to be there for long after I started digging. Horsepower, Jason, we kind of talked about this. A trained athlete can generate about 0.35 horsepower over an hour.

Jason Bradford
I’ll be like 0.25, maybe.

Rob Dietz
Oh, I was gonna say like 0.8.

Jason Bradford
For an hour I could probably work at a quarter horsepower, I’d say.

Rob Dietz
Pretty solid.

Jason Bradford
Yeah, maybe a third.

Rob Dietz
And Asher, your backhoe?

Asher Miller
About 106 horsepower.

Rob Dietz
So Jason, you’re one person over hour. Asher, that’s the equivalent of about what?

Asher Miller
Over 1000 people.

Rob Dietz
Over 1000 people yeah. And my bagger 293 has over 22,000 horsepower. So I’m at over 222,000 people.

Jason Bradford
Nice.

Asher Miller
Again, I don’t think we could fit that many people on the beach. And I’m of course worried about you know, the three foot rule and all the COVID stuff.

Jason Bradford
It’s hard to do this day in age. If we’re in Florida, we’re clear.

Rob Dietz
This is incredible. So let me run through this a little. Like the excavation, we think Jason could get about 12 cubic feet cleared out. That’s like digging a grave basically, or something like that.

Asher Miller
Working hard.

Rob Dietz
Asher, I doubt, you know, who knows? Maybe in the sand it’s not as hard to dig as soil.

Asher Miller
He’s digging his own grave.

Rob Dietz
But Asher, you could get about 3600 cubic feet. And I can get about 500,000 cubic feet. Weight wise, you know, we already said, mine is about 14,000 tons. So fuel usage. Jason, you need like a bologna sandwich.

Jason Bradford
Yeah, basically I’m going to use probably up about 300 kilocalories or something like that an hour, burnin’ through that baby.

Rob Dietz
Yeah. And Asher, over the course of an hour?

Asher Miller
About two gallons of diesel.

Rob Dietz
Yeah, you might also eat a bologna sandwich.

Asher Miller
I would, yeah. Multitask.

Rob Dietz
Well, I need a power plant that produces 16.5 megawatts.

Jason Bradford
Over an hour. So that’s a lot. So you know, you’re gonna use way more magnitude more fuel than even Asher would.

Rob Dietz
Yes, but this is actually leading us into what we’re trying to talk about today. And it’s the way that I win, because. . .

Asher Miller
You set this up.

Rob Dietz
Well, yeah, I chose the bagger. Because I’m gonna win. Because, you know, you’ll have a little hole on the beach, Jason. You might have a nice trench on the beach, Asher. I can basically remove the beach.

Jason Bradford
The beach is gone.

Rob Dietz
I do want our listeners — go look this thing up — The bagger 293 bucket wheel excavator. We actually had it as the cover art for an episode a couple episodes ago. Really an amazing piece of machinery.

Asher Miller
I mean, they’re pretty cheap, right? Just $100 million.

Rob Dietz
Yeah. It costs about 100 million.

Jason Bradford
Well, next year, when we do this in season four, I’m getting the bagger 294.

Rob Dietz
Well, good luck with that. Yeah, we’ll see how that works out. Yeah, there’s actually only one of these in the world. But no, the idea that we want to explore is that it’s whoever can take in the most energy and create the most power, turn that into useful work, that kind of wins the game these days.

Asher Miller
Yeah. And that’s fine if we don’t give a shit about the consequences, right? Who cares if there’s a beach left for kids to play on?

Rob Dietz
Yeah, exactly. So what we’re really talking about here is something called the maximum power principle. And the way that it works, it’s a tendency that all living creatures follow, and all people since we’re living creatures, most of us anyway. But I want to turn it to our resident biologists to maybe dig a little deeper here.

Asher Miller
Yeah, let’s put Jason on the spot. Jason, can you define the maximum power priciple

Unknown Speaker
After I sneeze. Okay, I will come to a simple definition. But a little the history. . . There was a mathematician that got into ecology, and helped ecology turn into a more mathematical discipline, Alfred Lotka. So, he started developing theories around this and really got popularized a bit by an ecologist, well known ecologist from the middle 20th century, named Howard Odom. A descendant of his academically, Charley Halls, talked about this a lot. And actually, Richard Heinberg, is going to come out with a book dealing with this topic as well. And we were looking at definitions, they’ve all sort of, you know, rewritten these definitions. But our favorite we found was from a guy named John Delong, another ecologist. And very succinct and clear. The maximum power principle states that biological systems organize to increase power whenever the system constraints allow.

Rob Dietz
So basically, what he’s saying, and you guys, correct me if my interpretation is off, but the way I hear that is, depending on what’s in your environment, you as a creature out there will draw in energy as quickly as you can, and turn it into work in an attempt to basically out compete anybody else that’s out there.

Jason Bradford
Yeah.

Asher Miller
Yeah. And it’s not just individuals, it’s species, right?

Asher Miller
Yeah. Populations.

Rob Dietz
Yeah. And so our little digging competition again, I just want to re-emphasize that I’m the winner. I maximized the power.

Jason Bradford
Theoretically, even though we’re on the Oregon beach that does not have a 16.5 megawatt power plant right there. Theoretically, you were still able to do this.

Rob Dietz
Yeah. Again, details. I don’t understand why you’re so focused on the details.

Asher Miller
So actually, I think the last bit there, into Long’s definition, I want to pick on that a little bit. Whenever the system constraints allow? Can we talk about what we mean by constraints? Like what kind of constraints do we think we’re talking about here?

Jason Bradford
Well, this is the key point to get into. We often think about like, “Well, oh, this is an efficient system. Or trying to optimize for that or this.” And really what it is, is we’re making trade off decisions in our work, and how we design our work, and the equipment we use, etc. So when I pick a shovel, I have a very simple tool, but it’s going to take me quite a long time to do that work. So I’m very low material use. I have five pounds shovel. I’m not using a lot of energy, my energy output is really low. It’s just me. But I’m spending time and labor. So I’m very energy and material efficient with my shovel. But I’m pretty labor intensive and time intensive compared to Rob on the other end of the spectrum.

Rob Dietz
So those are the four constraints you’re mentioning. Labor, time, energy and material.

Jason Bradford
Exactly.

Rob Dietz
I think you’re leaving out a key one.

Jason Bradford
What’s that?

Rob Dietz
Intelligence? We’re very constrained in this podcast by intelligence.

Asher Miller
But that’s it is actually interesting what you said, If you compare the shovel to the —

Rob Dietz
Bagger 293 bucket wheel excavator.

Asher Miller
Exactly. The bagger 293.

Asher Miller
That puppy has minimized the labor in the time, honestly. Think about how much fucking sand you can move with that thing in a short period of time. Probably being operated, well they probably have a team —

Rob Dietz
They have a crew of five. Again, details that I didn’t want to get into. I gotta bring four buddies.

Asher Miller
But a lot of materials, a lot of energy to go into. Right?

Rob Dietz
Yeah, yeah.

Jason Bradford
So that’s sort of . . . When people say, what’s an efficient use, we have to really understand, okay, how are we defining efficiency? What are we defining by labor efficiency? Which, this equipment that Rob brought is very labor efficient. The backhoe is pretty labor efficient. But it’s not really energy efficient. In fact, I did some math, your table, I did some additional math on it. And I moved the most sand per unit of energy.

Rob Dietz
Wow.

Asher Miller
You got beat, buddy.

Jason Bradford
I beat you from efficiency on turns of energy.

Rob Dietz
That’s not the competition though, really. Was it? I mean . . .

Asher Miller
Yeah, right. It was our how much sand can you move.

Rob Dietz
That does remind me, we talked in a previous episode about how the bicycle is the most efficient way that people have invented to get around in terms of calories in and distance traveled. It’s basically the same thing.

Asher Miller
The problem guys, you can’t profit from that that much.

Rob Dietz
This is this is very true. So I mean, this gets to the idea of efficiency which is that you focus what efficiency you’re striving for, based on what’s abundant in what’s scarce. So today, when energy and materials are cheap, and abundant and easy to get to, we basically don’t give a shit. We’ll build a bagger 293. You know?

Asher Miller
Right. We care about labor, and we care about time.

Rob Dietz
Right. Right. The example I was thinking of with time has to do with transportation. A few years back, I got invited to a conference in England, and of course, being the fuel burning ass that I am, I flew. So you know, if you fly from the east coast of the United States to London, or somewhere in the UK, what does that take, like six, seven hours, maybe? Maybe?

Jason Bradford
Yeah, maybe five, six hours?

Rob Dietz
Yeah. Well compare that to the sailing voyage of Greta Thornburg. Where remember, she was coming over to the US for a conference on climate. And she sailed from Plymouth UK to New York on a racing yacht. And it only took 15 days, right. Compare which actually feels —

Asher Miller
That was like a racing yacht?

Rob Dietz
Yeah, that was fast yacht trip across. I actually read about it. It said there was no toilet on board and no shower.

Jason Bradford
Details, details. No need to go into these details.

Rob Dietz
I was just like, wow, that’s a bear bone ship. Good for Gretta.

Asher Miller
It definitely motivated them to go as fast as possible, right?

Rob Dietz
But I mean, look at the difference there, right? Like, here I’m getting this great time efficiency. And she’s obviously, because she’s a good person compared to me, is getting the energy efficiency, which is what we’re talking about, you know? We need to start looking at that.

Asher Miller
Right. And, I mean, we’ve talked about this, maybe ad nauseum. But really, a lot of this just comes back to energy, right? For most of our history, energy was scarce. It was constrained. Which means that we, you know, had to focus much more of our labor and our time on things. Things took a lot longer. Took a lot more labor.

Rob Dietz
Well, and this idea of like competing and winning. It’s easy to get in this mindset of, “Oh, I took the plane and I won. Because I got there in six hours instead of 15 days. I didn’t need to get seasick.” And that’s where the focus is.

Jason Bradford
Yeah. And, you know, what’s interesting is like, we’re kind of making jokes about this a little bit and making kind of silly jokes examples. But this has real world consequences. And actually geo-politically, people think about this in terms of power and projecting power. And it actually can come down to literally the quality of the fuels you have and your industrial production. And all that it’s tied to then, can you harness energy? So a good example is talked about among historians is World War Two, where the U.S. built up the hydroelectric dam system, during the Great Depression, right? We were putting all these installations on the Columbia River. That created this incredible electricity source for Washington, the State of Washington, and parts of Oregon as well. Which allowed them these manufacturing plants from Boeing to get established and all these aluminum manufactured. So we were able to turn out ships and airplanes in massive numbers quickly because we had this incredible electricity supply. We also had the most well developed oil industry in the world. And so we were able to turn out better fuels, higher octane, more reliable supplies, to fuel those planes and essentially, therefore fly higher, faster, longer than competing powers in World War Two. It made a difference.

Rob Dietz
Yeah, maximum power principle. If you can suck up that energy and get more resources going you can out compete.

Asher Miller
And in fact, I mean, you look at at wars broadly, but you look at World War Two specifically, and a lot of the tactical strategies were really around minimizing access.

Jason Bradford
Oh, North Africa.

Asher Miller
North Africa, Indonesia, these areas where the Japanese wanted to conquer these areas in order to have access to these resources.

Jason Bradford
The Caspian was a big area for that. Yeah, so definitely. But this also works of course, not just in humans, but in other species. So there’s really fun examples to think about. You lived in the desert in New Mexico, is that right?

Rob Dietz
Yeah, I was in Albuquerque for a few years, and actually doing studies of ecosystems including the Lower Colorado River. So pretty big time desert dried down areas.

Jason Bradford
Yeah. So it’s interesting to think about like this idea, you change what you do depending on if resources or environment are scarce. And in desert, often —

Rob Dietz
There’s plenty of sand in the desert, Jason. It’s not scarce at all.

Jason Bradford
We can have all the backhoes we want? Well, I’m thinking about different strategies, for example, for the plant, so like the cacti, right? Have these columns, and they’re green, and they’re succulent. But one of my favorite plants is the ocotillo

Rob Dietz
That is an awesome plant. I know, you know, plants way better than I do. But those are the ones with the big, long, spindly arms. They get these beautiful red flowers on the end of them.

Jason Bradford
And what happens after a rain?

Rob Dietz
The flowers come out?

Jason Bradford
Yeah, but also they leaf out. So they have these sort of ability to sort of just send out a bunch of leaves when there’s water. But when there’s not water, they just go bye-bye. And so again, they’re maximizing the intake of energy when the resources, in case water, allow them to do that.

Rob Dietz
Yeah, when that constraint temporarily goes away.

Jason Bradford
Now, other animals have different stress. So like I think of hummingbirds. So right now we have a lot of hummingbirds in our yard. And they aren’t here in the winter because it’s too cold. There are not nectar resources. These things fly from 1000’s of miles away and migrate. And they’re always just making sure they’re following where there’s a lot of plant life and young flowers and insects.

Asher Miller
Well, they should be really glad that we’re warming up the planet and that they don’t have to fly.

Jason Bradford
Yeah, let’s hang out. Actually, some things like that are happening where birds are stopping migration because they’re like, “Yeah, it’s warm enough here year round.”

Rob Dietz
You say you have hummingbirds in the yard, but I think I’m hearing redwing black birds. I don’t know if our mics are picking that up. Little bonus for today’s episode if they are.

Jason Bradford
But you think about like mammals have this constant demand and so do hummingbirds to always be burning energy. We’re warm blooded. And so mammals either have to migrate to find food sources. Think of the big migration and the savanna of those animals.

Asher Miller
Bison.

Jason Bradford
Bison and stuff.

Rob Dietz
Wildebeest, come on. Right in the Serengeti.

Jason Bradford
But some animals like bears hibernate. So they essentially say, “This is the winner. I’m going to just chill out and sleep and not burn much energy,” right? So they’re changing their power use according to when they hibernate and all that.

Rob Dietz
I feel like people are somewhere in between. I feel like I know some people who hibernate. Kind of get shut down during the winter. I wouldn’t mind doing that.

Jason Bradford
Have you even seen a snake den?

Rob Dietz
No.

Jason Bradford
Oh, those are pretty cool. You’ll see like giant piles of snakes tucked into these dens and they’re just they’re doing the same kind of thing. They’re just trying to keep themselves warm out of the cold and then they move out into the sun when the when they need to.

Asher Miller
So we’re talking about constraints. And the reason we’re bringing this up is that the constraints of energy and other material resources has been lifted temporarely for us humans. But this maximum power principle, again, does not only apply to other species in the sense of like, how they figured out how to maximize considering constraints. But other species also have gone crazy when they haven’t had constraints.

Jason Bradford
Yeah, right.

Asher Miller
And my favorite example is one that’s often talked about when people tried to kind of illustrate the concept of overshoot, which we’ve talked a little bit about before. But I think really applies to the maximum power principle as well. And that is the story of St. Matthew Island. You guys familiar with that story?

Jason Bradford
Yeah, famous ecology story as well.

Rob Dietz
Tell it to me again, Daddy. Please.

Asher Miller
It’s nice bedtime story. Cuddle up, Rob. Get your pillow and your Little Bear Bear. And I’ll tell you . . .

Rob Dietz
It’s the reindeer, right? They land on the roof and the guy in the red suit comes down the chimney.

Asher Miller
Yeah, that’s the one. That’s the one I was going to tell you about.

Jason Bradford
Okay, kids, here’s what happens where you might die.

Asher Miller
Here’s what happened to reindeer when you leave him alone. Santa goes away.

Rob Dietz
No, it’s an amazing story, please.

Asher Miller
So back in World War Two, we’re just talking about World War II. The U.S. Coast Guard was really worried about the Japanese attacking the West Coast, right. And we set up and down the West Coast all kinds of I mean, I think San Francisco had the most sort of, you know, coastal whatever alarm system set up. But they decided that they needed to put some stations, U.S Coast Guard wanted to put some station outposts up in Alaska area, Bering Strait. So they set up an outpost on this little island called St. Matthew Island. Totally barren island. They set up some guys out there. They had some food supplies for them. Obviously, t’s really, really fucking cold.

Rob Dietz
Right? Yeah. And it’s like, I’m looking at a map of it right now. It’s looks like it’s basically halfway between Alaska and Asia.

Asher Miller
Sarah Palin could see it from her house. But, so they had emergency supplies, but they decided that they actually needed to bring some reindeer as well as backup in case they got iced in, no ships could come in and provide . . .

Rob Dietz
They’re going to eat Rudolph, and Donner, and Dancer.

Asher Miller
Exactly, And so they brought like 29 reindeers, like an emergency food supply for themselves. And of course, this was like in ’44. The war ended just 18 months later, or whatever it was, a year later. And they left. And they decided, well, let’s just leave the raindeer here. They seem pretty happy.

Rob Dietz
Right. They just open the pen and let them go.

Asher Miller
Yeah. And there’s a biologist who heard the story years later, like, you know, 15 years later, a dozen years later, a guy named David Klein. And he said he wanted to go see what the impact was on this island. What happened to these reindeer that were left behind? So he went there with an assistant and he discovered something insane. Right? So 29 reindeer have been left there. Guess how many were there? Just like, you know, 12 years later?

Rob Dietz
Double.

Jason Bradford
No, more than that. 1,000.

Rob Dietz
How fast do reindeer breed? That was not in my my biology class.

Asher Miller
There were 1,350.

Jason Bradford
I was pretty close. I said 1,000.

Asher Miller
So about 46 times original number. In a dozen years.

Jason Bradford
Yeah.

Asher Miller
And then he came back six years later after that. He got some extra money or whatever it was he came back. 6,000.

Jason Bradford
Oh.

Rob Dietz
So what were they eating?

Asher Miller
They were eating lichen. So they had this situation where there are no predators, right?

Jason Bradford
No wolves.

Asher Miller
Nobody eating them. And they had this abundant food source. You know, reindeer, apparently like lichen. And there’s a lot of lichen there.

Rob Dietz
And the way that they fly, they could cover all kinds of distance. All over the island.

Asher Miller
Yeah, exactly. And they weren’t being put to work. You know, they were left alone. Santa wasn’t bugging them. But then, you know, Klein came back three years later, only three years later now. It went from 6,000 to 42.

Jason Bradford
Ouchy-poo.

Asher Miller
6,000 to 42.

Jason Bradford
That’s a pretty miserable 42.

Asher Miller
And there was only one male in that population.

Rob Dietz
So luckily, that male had evolved into a carnivore and was eating the other reindeer. Is that right? Is that what happened? Do I have this story straight?

Asher Miller
No matter how hard he tried to procreate, you know, the tide was against them. And , by the 80s they’re all gone. So again, this is like —

Rob Dietz
Sort of like bell bottoms. By the 80’s, they were all gone.

Asher Miller
Exactly. So you know, this is an example that people talk about with overshoot, right? This reindeer population had an abundant resource, went kind of crazy, overshot the capacity of the ecosystem. They ate all the lichen up because they had no predators to check their population. And then you know, they went essentially extinct on that island. But it is a good example of the maximum power principle when you remove constraints. All species probably, or very many of them would behave in that way.

Jason Bradford
Yeah, they’re trying to maximize the intake of lichen in order to reproduce as fast as they can. So that sort of like the work they’re doing, right, the idea is you’re converting the energy you intake into something. And that in this case is just reproducing. Like they’re not worried about shovels or excavators. They’re basically just —

Rob Dietz
I’m thinking of these Charlie Sheen reindeer just going, “winning.”

Jason Bradford
What’s interesting to think about is theoretically lichen is a renewable resource, right? It grows. But it doesn’t grow that fast. Have you ever sat and watched lichen grow?

Jason Bradford
It’s fascinating.

Rob Dietz
It doesn’t grow anywhere near as fast as paint dries. But no, obviously, like you said, Asher, that story has been used as a, “Hey, watch out for overshoot.” But I do think dissecting it a bit in the maximum power realm is a good idea. Because you know, Jason, you were saying before, all living creatures, basically all these self organizing systems have this tendency. People have it too. Which was probably okay when we were in our foraging days. Before we figured out how to make so many wondrous tools, and before we figured out how to grab this once in a lifetime lottery major supply of energy in the form of fossil fuels. And it seems like, you can make the argument, well, humans are a lot smarter than reindeer. We’re not going to do what they did. But if you look at how we’re behaving, it seems like we’re right on the reindeer path here. If you kind of equate likened to fossil fuel. I mean, we grab that stuff as fast as we can. Even once we’ve come to this time where we understand the climate impacts of burning so much fossil fuel, we’re still fighting for more pipelines and more tar sands.

Jason Bradford
Oh, I know. Like Trudeau, the Canadian Prime Minister. It’s a riot. Because on one side of his mouth, he seems to be this liberal who cares about climate and believes in it. And then, the next thing you know it’s like, pushing through pipeline projects. It’s just absurd.

Rob Dietz
The good thing is it’s a lichen pipeline. So it’s it’s not nearly as damaging.

Jason Bradford
They got so much liken in Canada. Oh my gosh.

Asher Miller
I think there’s an interesting paradox here. I mean, we’ve talked about sort of evolutionary biology stuff, adaptation over time, getting benefits. It’s an evolutionary trait, I assume, this maximum power principle, right? It may make sense that so many species have it. But having that in the context of scarcity or limits of resources. It not only puts it to check, but we have that and a scarcity mindset as well. That’s sort of still built into us, right? Like these driving kind of, I don’t know, these influences that we’re not even like conscious about.

Jason Bradford
Instinctual drives.

Asher Miller
We think we’ve been living in this period of the most material abundance imaginable. But we’re functioning as though we have the scarcity mindset to it. And at the same time, we’re completely checked out on the likelihood that we’re going to actually hit scarcity.

Jason Bradford
Well, here’s what I think we need to do then. If we’re going the way of the raindeer, we need to get your, what’s your thing called again?

Rob Dietz
My what?

Jason Bradford
Your shovel.

Rob Dietz
Oh, it’s the Bagger 293.

Jason Bradford
We just got to just start digging graves with the Bagger 293 because we’re gonna need them.

Rob Dietz
And let’s let’s just figure out how to do it with three people instead of five. You guys are invited on my bagger.

Asher Miller
Such a morbid picture, Jason. Do you really need a Bagger?

Jason Bradford
No, we’ll just use your backhoe. You’re right I’m sorry.

Asher Miller
Thank you. Can we just moderate this?

Rob Dietz
Okay, good work, guys.

Asher Miller
Stay tuned for our George Costanza Memorial do the opposite segment where we discuss things we can do to get the hell out of Crazy Town.

Jason Bradford
You don’t have to just listen to the three of us blather on anymore.

Rob Dietz
We’ve actually invited someone intelligent on the program to provide inspiration.

Asher Miller
Rob, Jason, I wanted to share a view this time from Joanne B.F. on iTunes. Joanne says, “these guys give us climate change activists a look at the state of affairs with enough humor to make it feel like we’re all in on the joke.”

Jason Bradford
That’s excellent.

Rob Dietz
That is sweet. First of all, it’s great that an activist is listening to this show and getting something out of it. That makes me feel nice and warm. But you know, the three of us like to have fun together and it’s hard to talk about some of these subjects. You get tired, you get beaten down. So we have to make some jokes and try to spread a little cheer as we do it. So I’m glad that that’s resonating with someone out there.

Jason Bradford
That’s right, everybody needs to try to enjoy the day.

Asher Miller
Thanks for that review, Joanne. And if you like the podcast, please take a few minutes to just rate us or give us a review on your favorite podcast app.

George Costanza
Every decision I’ve ever made in my entire life has been wrong. My life is the complete opposite of everything I want it to be. If every instinct you have is wrong, then the opposite would have to be right.

Jason Bradford
All righty, here. We are going to do the opposite, huh? So what that means in this context. . . It’s interesting because we’ve grown up in this culture where we’ve been optimizing for being labor efficient and time efficient, right? So if you’ve ever run a business, it’s like how do you reduce the number of workers? Right? How do you get things done faster? And I think the opposite then is to think, instead of those efficiencies, right, to remind you, what we talked about earlier in the show, is that there’s other things to optimize for which would be like energy and materials. So it turns out that typically, when you substitute human labor with machines, you end up using more energy and materials, obviously.

Asher Miller
Like your shovel versus the . . .

Jason Bradford
Yeah, the bagger. Right that’s the opposite. That’s the opposite structure we’ve had. And it’s the opposite strategy. But anyways, the first thing to do is recognize what you’re doing, right? Recognize what’s being optimized for, and knowing that there’s these different things to optimize for. Labor, time, energy, materials.

Rob Dietz
I’m picturing you, Jason. Every time somebody says something’s efficient, you’re very skeptical. You’re trying to go, “efficient at what? What resource are we talking about? What’s the constraint here?”

Jason Bradford
Yes, exactly.

Asher Miller
But you know, human societies have made these calculations whether they’re conscious about it or not, depending upon the kind of the constraints that they had. So, I was thinking about the pyramids, the pharaohs . . .

Jason Bradford
Aliens made those, right.

Asher Miller
Right.

Rob Dietz
No, they were made by reindeer.

Asher Miller
They’re made by my people. Way back when.

Jason Bradford
Oh, congratulations.

Rob Dietz
Who are your people?

Asher Miller
The Jews. There are lots of slaves that were involved. But you know, for them, I think the pharaohs motivation was you got to get this fucking thing built pretty quickly. And by pretty quickly, in their context, it wasn’t like, six weeks. It was 10-20 years, or whatever it was. Before the pharaoh dies. So you can get buried in there and you know . .

Rob Dietz
Oh, so that’s where the the aliens then pick you up at the top of the pyramid?

Asher Miller
Can you just stop with aliens? So for them actually, time was was something that they were trying to maximize for at a certain level. So they churn through labor like nobody’s business.

Jason Bradford
Oh, if you’re a slave building a pyramid, you’re not going to last that long.

Rob Dietz
Oh, the hernia rate was incredible among those slaves.

Asher Miller
They didn’t care about that. Right? Whereas you contrast that to the, you know, we talked about Cathedral thinking before . . .They’re building these things over centuries. So in the sense, time was the thing that they were not optimizing..

Jason Bradford
But they wanted to have craftsmanship. So they were willing to hire people for good wages, and all these guilds that formed. And you had to make sure you knew what you’re doing because these arches had to be perfect.

Asher Miller
And they are constrained by energy.

Jason Bradford
And money.

Asher Miller
And they’re constrained by labor on some levels.

Jason Bradford
Yeah.

Asher Miller
So yeah, I mean, these are calculations that society has made. Now we’re not thinking about it at all. Other than thinking about like, two options. Like time and labor, right?

Rob Dietz
Yeah. Nothing’s really thought of when it comes to energy, because it’s just like we said, it’s always been there. So what is doing the opposite then? We start start working towards being efficient with with energy and materials, right?

Jason Bradford
Yup.

Asher Miller
Yeah.

Rob Dietz
Well, how are we gonna do that?

Jason Bradford
It’s hard. Because right now they’re cheap and abundant. So that’s why we call it, “do the opposite.”

Asher Miller
Well, we have to limit ourselves.

Rob Dietz
Yeah. Cuz I think what we’re saying, it’s not going to happen with the economic system that we have in place.

Asher Miller
Well, here’s the rub. It will happen to us, or we could do it to ourselves. If we do it to ourselves on some level, we might be able to, you know, actually have future humans living on this planet. If we don’t, and we’ll have other species to enjoy this planet with. If we don’t do that —

Jason Bradford
Yeah, then it’s use the backhoe and dig the graves. But anyway, what this reminds me of, the Amish, what you’re saying a culture –

Rob Dietz
Right. They actually do limit themselves.

Jason Bradford
– that says I’m going to limit the technology, the tools I choose. The tools they choose are tools that actually limit their power. And that’s interesting. They’re deciding, okay, I’m going to use horses, and I’m not going to use these machines that put the fossil fuels in, right? So I think, choosing your tools and deciding what what you’re going to do with them and how much power you’re gonna wield.

Rob Dietz
I understand they’re able to do this because they’re a tight knit community and have a lot of religious ideals and values that they’re trying to follow. Do either you have any idea why they came up with that point. You know, the tool set? Like, we’re gonna limit it right here?

Jason Bradford
No, I don’t remember.

Asher Miller
No, I don’t know. But I think what’s important here, and I think there’s trade offs with this is it’s not just a collection of individuals who are like, “Hey, we’re all going to band together and agree on these limits.” They strongly reinforce with social norms that I think can come with some real restriction on people’s freedom, individuality, these kinds of things. And that gets to the fact that it’s not just an individual making a choice. It’s these reinforcing cultural norms and expectations, and probably laws and societies, that create the conditions to restrict these things.

Jason Bradford
That’s why I wish we had things like rationing of energy, right?

Asher Miller
And I think it’s really important for those of us who are thinking about like climate, for example, and limiting carbon. Whether you want to have a carbon tax or not have a carbon tax, or what is the price you want to put on carbon or not, if we don’t have a cap on it, an actually cap on it, I’m very skeptical and concerned about our ability to limit ourselves the way that we need to.

Jason Bradford
Until those constraints bite and we go reindeer.

Asher Miller
Which is in a sense too late.

Jason Bradford
It’s too late.

Asher Miller
Maybe it’s not that too late. But still very painful, very difficult.

Rob Dietz
Right. So clearly, we need to be working on policies that limit our use of energy uptake, or limit our energy uptake and limit our ability to wield power.

Asher Miller
And creating social norms and cultural . . .

Rob Dietz
Right. So this whole system change. But that’s all well and good, but we don’t have to wait for that either. I think we also need to look in in our own households, and in our own individual behavior. What is it that we can do that goes along those lines? We gave the example earlier how Gretta took the sailboat across the Atlantic. You know, she clearly made this trade off. One of those choice trade offs. Time versus energy expenditure.

Jason Bradford
Yeah. And we talked about how amazing bicycles are. They take a little more time. It takes about twice as long to bike into town as it does to drive. So it’s not that bad . . .

Rob Dietz
I think the hard part there. . . Again, you’re still fighting some cultural norms, right? Like, oh, you have to be at your job at this time. And you got to be over here to pick up the kids from school at that time. And I’m not saying that you couldn’t do it by bike, but it’s really about finding ways to get the job done without having to maximize power. You have to be really creative

Asher Miller
This is why I basically have just stopped using my body for anything. I mean, I don’t exercise at all. I don’t lift anything more than I think one and a half pounds, something like that. So, you know, I’ve created conditions where basically I have no power

Rob Dietz
You actually stay in the cockpit of your backhoe and use that for all tasks.

Jason Bradford
Is this your excuse at home when they ask you to do chores?

Asher Miller
Yeah, I can’t do it. I am trying to minimize my power.

Rob Dietz
Well, you’re very not powerful.

Rob Dietz
Richard Heinberg is a senior fellow here at the Post Carbon Institute. So he’s one of our gang members. He is one of the world’s foremost experts on the history of fossil fuels and a respected advocate for the shift to a renewable energy economy, which includes a strong case for the limits to growth. More importantly, he’s written tons of stuff, spoken at events all over the world, and appeared in dozens of media productions, and his most recent book with a publication date of September 2021, is “Power: Limits and Prospects for Human Survival”. But I’d also like to say what I think Richard is really best at is breaking down complex and nuanced topics, and explaining them with logic and insight so that anyone can understand it. He’s really a natural born teacher and I’m happy to count him as a friend and colleague here at Post Carbon. Richard, welcome to Crazy Town.

Richard Heinberg
Hey, Rob. Good to be in Crazy Town with you. Thank you.

Rob Dietz
Well, yeah. Maybe to some extent, right. Okay, I got a lot of questions for you, Jason, Asher and I have been engaged in a conversation about the maximum power principle, as one of the hidden drivers that has pushed humanity into the sustainability crisis. I know you’ve spent a lot of time considering physical and social power while you’ve been working on your book, “Power.” So first off, I am curious if there was a topic that surprised you, or especially stood out, as you dove into your research on the book?

Richard Heinberg
Yeah, well, I think what stood out to me was just the immense variety in the expression of power. On a pound per pound basis, life is actually far more powerful than the sun. And I know that seems incredible, but the sun is very massive. And if you divide its mass by its luminosity and then compare that with the rate of energy transfer in the average cell, the cell wins every time. Life is just amazingly powerful. And from the very first living cell right up to the present, life and evolution have been all about gathering and using energy to do things. And what an amazing variety of things living beings have learned to do. Moving, sensing, thinking, reproducing, communicating, fighting, cooperating, list goes on and on. And it’s not just all about survival and reproduction. It’s also about beauty. Animals that reproduce through sex have found ways of attracting mates. And flowering plants that have to be pollinated have learned amazing ways to attract pollinators. Now, for animals, the production of beauty often becomes an obsession in and of itself, apart from its value in sexual selection. And the result is that nature is just incredibly beautiful. And it’s not just an inadvertent byproduct of everything else they’re doing. And I’m not talking about beauty just in terms of human subjective impressions. No, what I discovered is that nature is intentionally beautiful. It works hard at it. And again, all of this is the result of the workings of power.

Rob Dietz
Wow that’s actually kind of inspiring, right? We can sleep better at night knowing that nature is working hard at being beautiful. Well, I appreciate that insight, and I’m one of the lucky people who has gotten a chance to read your book ahead of publication. And it’s got the usual amount of clarity and organization, excellent writing that you’re known for. But what I really appreciated about it was the depth of analysis. It’s my sense that this book took you on a different sort of journey maybe than previous writing experiences. And I want to know, if my sense is correct there, or in other words, could you describe what the process of researching and writing this book has meant to you?

Richard Heinberg
Well, I’ve always been kind of a big picture guy. And my MO is mostly to synthesize other people’s work. Of course, I aim for the best, the latest thinking about the most important questions. And there’s a lot of that in this book, as well. I ended up reading literally dozens of books and lots more technical articles as I was preparing to write this book. And it turned out to be an opportunity to brush up on the latest findings and thinking in fields from cell biology, to anthropology, to communications theory, to game theory. And it was it was pretty exhilarating. A lot has changed in these fields in just the last few years. But at the same time, on this occasion, I feel I may also have made an original contribution. The word power certainly gets used a lot. But to my knowledge, nobody has tried to tie together power’s many meanings and manifestations in the world. And to look for links and commonalities and in general rules. I found myself having to define power rather carefully, depending on the context. And then I had to reflect on what I thought I had found, and look for exceptions, and see if this was really true. Of course, that’s just critical thinking. Nothing new there. But it was exciting to be in somewhat unexplored territory and with a responsibility for mapping it properly for others who might follow.

Rob Dietz
While you were describing that, Richard, I was glad to hear that you’re the one taking on that responsibility. I can’t think of anyone any more well qualified. In fact, I was thinking, if I were in that position, I might just have to quit writing. But we well know that you didn’t do that. So thank you.

Richard Heinberg
I can’t help myself. I probably should. But . . .

Rob Dietz
Well, one of the main points that you make — or a big case that you make in the book is that we humans have to control our thirst for power. And you also claim that we have the capacity to do that. And you go on to recommend a new principle that you call the optimum power principle. I was hoping you could describe what you mean by that, and how it might interact with the maximum power principle. And then, how you see the quest to limit power playing out.

Richard Heinberg
Right. Well, the optimum power principle is not an alternative to the maximum power principle. It’s more an addition to it. And in a way, it’s nothing new. Everybody knows that life is full of checks and balances, whether it’s homeostasis within organisms and systems and cells, or predator prey relationships in ecosystems. In human societies, there are always ways of at least partially preventing the accumulation of too much political or economic power. Like in modern societies, we have environmental regulations to keep us from overrunning nature, and redistributive programs to keep economic inequality from growing to catastrophic extremes. Of course, these measures aren’t always sufficient, either in nature, or human society. That’s why societies sometimes collapse. My book makes the argument that our current efforts to limit and share power are falling way behind where they would need to be in order to avert a crisis. But to my knowledge, no one has given this general phenomenon a name before. This tendency of living systems to find ways to limit or balance power. And actually, Rob, the specific term came from you and a conversation we were having early on about the book. Anyway, once we have a name for something, it’s sometimes becomes easier to see it and to recognize it. Just last week, I heard a podcast about the discovery of a protein within cells, called mTOR. And this protein senses when there’s sufficient food and space for the organism to expand. If there is, the protein triggers growth. If there isn’t, it instructs the cell or the organism to shut down growth and instead engage in repair activities. So there’s the optimum power principle at work at the cellular level. It’s everywhere really.

Rob Dietz
Wow, I had forgotten the conversation we had. So I’m happy to steal some credit. But I don’t feel like I really deserve any there. Yeah, well that’s a really amazing and interesting idea. That if you look around, you can find it in places, the optimum power principle, where you weren’t necessarily expecting it like this mTOR protein that you’re talking about. So I’m wondering, then, if like you said, that some parts of society have struggled with dealing with kind of keeping their power in check, and maybe they would even tend toward collapse. I’m wondering if you could give us some good examples of how an individual or a community of individuals could go against that when it comes to their relationship with power. So the question is, really, how can we limit our power as individuals, not continually expand it, while also trying to live the good life?

Richard Heinberg
Mmhmm. Yeah, that’s a good one. I guess you could say that indigenous peoples and especially hunter gatherers were the original power geniuses. They eliminated bullies through ostracism, or if necessary by executing them. They made all their important decisions by consensus. Authority within their societies was always situational depending on who had the relevant skills and experience. Men had their areas of special ability and women had theirs. Of course, it wasn’t paradise and groups sometimes fought each other over foraging territory. But when you look back, just about everything that we try to do in modern civilization to keep economic and political power within bounds can be seen as a way of trying to somehow approximate or recover the balance and the freedoms that we enjoyed back then. Of course, now we have vast power in the form of fossil fuels. And that’s really upset our relations with nature and with one another. Somehow we’ve got to limit that power or the whole human enterprise goes bust. Of course, collectively, our challenge is to zero out our carbon emissions. But this is ultimately going to require behavior change. I’ve always advocated like, day long or week long energy fasts as a way of coming to understand just how dependent we are personally on these relatively new energy sources, and how freeing it is to unplug. That makes it easier to come to grips with the kinds of collective restraints we’ll need in order to minimize the threat of climate change. Maybe we can think of similar sorts of exercises to help ourselves think more creatively about species extinctions and resource depletion, pollution, and economic inequality. Moderation, and reciprocity have to start somewhere. And the best place is in our own lives in our own households, our communities. It’s a matter of noticing how much power you have that’s actually contributing to environmental destruction and inequality. And how you take it for granted. And then of finding other ways of sharing and using power that are less harmful and that actually make you feel empowered by doing something. Even if it’s as simple as sharing with your neighbors, or going for a walk, or paying attention to nature. So it’s as much about finding new forms of power as it is about giving up power all together.

Rob Dietz
Well, you always have a way of helping me and people that read your works see the world differently. And I really appreciate that about you. Richard Heinberg is the author of “Power: Limits and Prospects for Human Survival,” set for publication in September of 2021. You can find out more about that at postcarbon.org Thanks so much, Richard, for visiting Crzy Town.

Richard Heinberg
Hey, it’s always a pleasure, Rob. Good talking with you.

Jason Bradford
Thanks for listening to this episode of Crazy Town.

Asher Miller
Yeah, if by some miracle, you actually got something out of it, please take a minute and give us a positive rating or leave a review on your preferred podcast app

Rob Dietz
And thanks to all our listeners, supporters and volunteers, and special thanks to our producer Melody Traverse.

Jason Bradford
Hey, guys, I’m thinking I might have to take a little respite from the show. Not right away, I have to plan this out carefully. But it’s it’s actually something I learned about one of our sponsors. It’s called the Powerdown Bar.

Rob Dietz
Was it invented by Richard Heinberg?

Asher Miller
It was sort of inspired — He inspired the inventors of this. But also they were inspired by the notions of the maximum power principle and the need to sort of work with our environments. I’m thinking over the winter, I’m going to take one of these. What it does. you eat one and you won’t wake up for about five months. So I might do like three quarters of one.

Asher Miller
How many calories are in this thing?

Jason Bradford
Well, not many calories. In fact, there’s actually a problem in that you should put on a lot of extra weight before eat one of these because you’re going to lose 40 to 80 pounds.

Asher Miller
In hibernation?

Jason Bradford
In hibernation.

Rob Dietz
I’m glad, Jason, that you have such good relations with our sponsors because you’re the one who’s going to take the “put you down for 5 months.”

Asher Miller
So this is a pill that basically has this massive shot of like heroin in it, or something?

Jason Bradford
No, it’s a proprietary ingredient.

Asher Miller
Oh, we don’t know what it is?

Jason Bradford
I don’t even know but it’s been approved. So, you know, it’s totally legal. Totally on the up and totally legal. And, hey, you know, it’s really cuts down on laundry. You save money. You can cancel all your subscription services.

Asher Miller
You need get somebody to come in every once in a while to turn you over so you don’t bedsores.

Jason Bradford
Well there is that additional cost.

Asher Miller
And a catheter to put in. Sorry, I don’t mean to . . .

Rob Dietz
Can we just say happy hibernation and be on our way?

Jason Bradford
Yeah. Clear your calendars and eat a Powerdown Bar, folks.